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A country that relies on technical analysis for forecasting exchange rate movements would know that


A) price and volume data cannot be used to determine past trends.
B) econometric models drawn from economic theory are best suited to predict exchange rate movements.
C) the foreign exchange market is efficient and forward exchange rates are the best predictors of future spot exchange rates.
D) previous market trends and waves can be used to predict future market trends and waves.
E) since forward exchange rates are the best predictors of future spot rates, it makes no sense to invest in forecasting.

F) A) and B)
G) B) and C)

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Describe the factors that explain the failure of the purchasing power parity theory to predict exchange rates accurately.

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Several factors explain the failure of P...

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The U.S. dollar is selling at a discount on the 30-day forward market when what is taking place?


A) The spot exchange rate is $1 = ¥120 currently and $1 = ¥130 after 30 days.
B) The spot exchange rate is $1 = ¥120 currently and $1 = ¥100 after 30 days.
C) The current spot exchange rate is $1 = ¥120 and the 30-day forward rate is $1 = ¥110 after 30 days.
D) The current spot exchange rate is $1 = ¥120 and the 30-day forward rate is $1 = ¥130 after 30 days.
E) The current spot exchange rate is $1 = ¥120 and the 30-day forward rate is $1 = ¥120 after 30 days.

F) B) and D)
G) None of the above

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What is meant by carry trade? Why is it risky? Explain with an example.

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A kind of speculation that has become mo...

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________ is concerned with the present measurement of past events.


A) Economic exposure
B) Transaction exposure
C) Arbitrage
D) Translation exposure
E) Currency speculation

F) A) and C)
G) All of the above

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Supply and demand of one currency relative to another helps determine exchange rates.

A) True
B) False

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Differentiate between a lead strategy and a lag strategy.

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A number of tactics can help firms minim...

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The foreign exchange trading center in ________ has the highest percentage of activity.


A) Frankfurt
B) London
C) Paris
D) Hong Kong
E) Sydney

F) B) and E)
G) All of the above

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The foreign exchange market offers complete insurance against foreign exchange risk.

A) True
B) False

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An example of transaction exposure is when


A) companies have obligations for the purchase of goods at previously agreed prices.
B) companies borrow funds in domestic currency.
C) there is an impact of currency exchange rate changes on the reported financial statements of a company.
D) there is a long-term effect of changes in exchange rates.
E) changing exchange rates persists on future prices, sales, and costs.

F) None of the above
G) A) and B)

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Describe three important features of the foreign exchange market.

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Two features of the foreign exchange mar...

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A base model Schwinn bike costs $100 in the United States and €125 in Europe. What would the purchasing power parity theory's prediction of the dollar/euro exchange rate be based on this example?


A) $1 = €1.25
B) $1 = €1
C) $1 = €0.80
D) $1 = €0.90
E) $1 = €1.10

F) A) and C)
G) All of the above

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Suppose that the government of Venezuela decided to give everyone in the country the equivalent of $20,000. Upon receipt of the money, people raced to the stores to buy furniture, electronics, and new clothes. There was such high demand for goods that producers raised prices. What is this an example of?


A) isolationism
B) inflation
C) spot exchange
D) recession
E) a planned economy

F) A) and E)
G) A) and D)

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Compare and contrast the efficient market school and the inefficient market school of exchange rate forecasting.

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A company's need to predict future excha...

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Many economists compare the process of ________ to fortune-telling because there is no rationale for the assumption of predictability.


A) the efficient market school
B) fundamental analysis
C) a planned economy
D) the inefficient market school
E) technical analysis

F) C) and D)
G) C) and E)

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A common kind of currency swap is spot against forward.

A) True
B) False

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Traders at a stock exchange notice that five traders on the floor seem to be selling more yen and purchasing more euros because of an expected decline in the yen. As a result, all other traders started to do the same. This is an example of the ________ that creates a self-fulfilling prophecy when the yen does decline in value.


A) spot exchange rate
B) arbitration process
C) bandwagon effect
D) difference principle
E) tragedy of the commons

F) None of the above
G) A) and E)

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Carry trade occurs when borrowing is done in one currency where interest rates are low and using the proceeds to invest in another country where interest rates are high.

A) True
B) False

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Spot exchange rates and the 30-day forward rates are the same.

A) True
B) False

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One reason for the failure of purchasing power parity theory and international Fisher effect in predicting short-term movements in exchange rates is due to the


A) impact of investor psychology on short-run exchange rate movements.
B) strong relationship between inflation rates and interest rates.
C) impact of interest rates and short-term exchange rate movements.
D) strong relationship between interest rate differentials and subsequent changes in spot exchange rates.
E) government intervention in cross-border trade that violates the assumption of efficient markets.

F) C) and E)
G) B) and D)

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